What Is Polymarket? The Complete Beginner’s Guide (2025)

Learn how prediction markets work, how to place your first trade, and how to start profiting from real-world events.

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What Is Polymarket?

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market platform, where users trade on real-world events using YES/NO shares. Instead of betting against a sportsbook or casino, you trade against other participants based on probabilities.

You can trade on events such as:

• Political elections
• Crypto and Bitcoin price outcomes
• Economic indicators (CPI, inflation, rate cuts)
• Sports results
• Pop culture
• Viral meme events

Each market has two possible outcomes:

• YES – event happens
• NO – event does not happen

Shares trade between $0.01 and $1.00, reflecting market-implied probabilities.

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How Polymarket Works (Simple Explanation)

Every market revolves around a probability price:

• If YES is $0.45 → the market believes there’s a 45% chance the event will occur.
• If the event happens → YES settles at $1.00.
• If it doesn’t → YES settles at $0.00.

You are essentially buying and selling probabilities.

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Why People Use Polymarket

Prediction markets are powerful because they:

✅ Are more accurate than polls

✅ React instantly to breaking news

✅ Let you profit from knowledge

✅ Are fun and easy to learn

✅ Teach market logic and probabilities

✅ Let beginners trade without crypto knowledge

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Is Polymarket Legal?

Yes — Polymarket operates as a legal information market, not a sportsbook. It’s allowed for U.S. users and international users, with regional differences in deposit methods.

Anyone can sign up and begin trading.

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Who Should Use Polymarket?

Polymarket is ideal for:

• Beginners exploring DeFi and markets
• Crypto traders
• Political and news followers
• Sports fans
• Meme and culture watchers
• “Alpha” hunters who follow trends quickly

If you’re good at spotting trends early, you can profit consistently.

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How to Start Trading on Polymarket (Step-by-Step)

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1. Create Your Account

Sign up takes under one minute.

👉 Use my Polymarket link here:
[https://tinyurl.com/polynefu]

This supports the Txchyon blog & future DeFi research.

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2. Deposit Funds

Deposit using:

• Debit card
• Credit card
• USDC
• Crypto wallet
• Bank transfer (region-dependent)

Beginners can use debit/credit — no crypto required.

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3. Choose a Market

Beginner-friendly markets include:

Crypto

• Will Bitcoin reach $100k?
• Will Solana hit $300?

Politics

• Who will win the 2026 election?
• Will Biden withdraw?

Economics

• Will CPI be above forecast?

Memes

• Will [celebrity] apologize?
• Will Apple announce X product?

Pick markets you understand.

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4. Buy YES or NO Shares

• Buy YES if you think the event WILL happen
• Buy NO if you think it WON’T happen

Simple and intuitive.

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5. Trade or Hold

You can:

• Sell early for profit
• Hold until event settlement
• Exit early if market moves against you

Polymarket gives you full flexibility.

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Examples: How To Profit on Polymarket

1. News Trading

Information comes out early → you enter → market updates → you profit.

2. Trend Trading

If you know crypto narratives well, you can enter mispriced markets early.

3. Political Momentum

Poll swings and debate reactions move markets fast.

If you follow political news → huge edge.

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Is Polymarket Safe?

Yes — Polymarket uses:

• Blockchain-based smart contracts
• Market oracles
• Transparent, on-chain settlement
• No central “house” trading against users

You trade directly with the market, not the platform.

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Beginner Tips (Read This First)

🟦 1. Start small

$10–$50 is enough to learn.

🟦 2. Trade events you understand

Your personal knowledge = your edge.

🟦 3. Take profits early

You don’t need to wait for final results.

🟦 4. Watch for mispriced markets

Crypto, politics, and macro events are often slow to price in.

🟦 5. Follow news closely

The faster you react, the more profitable you’ll be.

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Final Thoughts — Is Polymarket Worth Using?

Yes — if you enjoy:

• Crypto
• News
• Events
• Betting on outcomes
• Memes
• Markets
• Low-cost beginner-friendly trading

Polymarket is one of the most fun and educational platforms in Web3.

👉 Start here with my Polymarket partner link:
[https://tinyurl.com/polynefu]

This supports the Txchyon blog & helps fund future content and DeFi guides. Check out the rest of our Prediction Markets category for deep dives on other platforms. Next up: more guides to help you navigate this growing space.

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